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The back-channel diplomacy behind Trump’s U-turn on Iran

TCC

Well-known

Foreign ministers from Egypt, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan gathered before dawn Thursday in Riyadh for talks aimed at finding a diplomatic off-ramp to the war in Iran.

But there was one big problem, according to Arab officials involved in the discussions: finding a counterpart in Iran to negotiate with. Earlier that week, Israel killed Iran’s national security chi
ef, Ali Larijani, who had been considered a viable partner who could engage with the West.

Egyptian intelligence officials managed to open a channel with Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps—the paramilitary group that protects the Iranian regime and is the country’s most powerful security and political entity—and put forward a proposal to halt hostilities for five days to build confidence for a cease-fire, some of the officials said.

Those discussions laid the groundwork for an abrupt reversal more than 7,000 miles away in Florida.

On Saturday night, President Trump, who spent the weekend at his Mar-a-Lago club, gave Iran an ultimatum to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours or the U.S. military would “obliterate” the country’s power plants. Two days later, as word of the discussions in Riyadh made its way to the White House, Trump reversed course, embracing diplomacy with Tehran and putting his threatened strikes on hold.

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The members of Trump's back channel are all on the Board of Peace. Shutting out UK and NATO.

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Trump always keeps the enemy guessing. While making public statements about a deal close with Iran, he is also bringing thousands of troops to the ME. Trump could be making the deal with one of the multiple different leaders in Iran, and the other leaders may not know what the other is saying to Trump. They are all deep in hiding, with communication severely limited. Every time they try to communicate, the IDF is there waiting, then killing.
 
Trump always keeps the enemy guessing. While making public statements about a deal close with Iran, he is also bringing thousands of troops to the ME. Trump could be making the deal with one of the multiple different leaders in Iran, and the other leaders may not know what the other is saying to Trump. They are all deep in hiding, with communication severely limited. Every time they try to communicate, the IDF is there waiting, then killing.

...and the seemingly cool element (be that the accurate reality on the ground) is that the "deep state" (such as one snake head would be in Iran as with others countries having deep states too) seems to get a run for their money and in ways is getting a taste of something (a ghost in the machine) that does "deep state" shadow governance better than they do. lol. The Haman principle in it most intricately disruptive clandestine glory. Priceless...if true. :wink:
 
...and the seemingly cool element (be that the accurate reality on the ground) is that the "deep state" (such as one snake head would be in Iran as with others countries having deep states too) seems to get a run for their money and in ways is getting a taste of something (a ghost in the machine) that does "deep state" shadow governance better than they do. lol. The Haman principle in it most intricately disruptive clandestine glory. Priceless...if true. :wink:
Can I get a translator please…..:)
 
...and the seemingly cool element (be that the accurate reality on the ground) is that the "deep state" (such as one snake head would be in Iran as with others countries having deep states too) seems to get a run for their money and in ways is getting a taste of something (a ghost in the machine) that does "deep state" shadow governance better than they do. lol. The Haman principle in it most intricately disruptive clandestine glory. Priceless...if true. :wink:
I don't think Trump is beating them at anything to be honest.

He should have bombed 7 shades of you know what after his 48 hour deadline ultimatum, not keep extending it for another week almost.
 
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