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Iranian missiles are loaded onto launchers in all underground missile cities and are ready for launch

Iran’s nuclear Catch-22: Enrichment, missiles, and the concession game - analysis​


As the US positions aircraft in the Indian Ocean that could strike Iran’s nuclear program, Tehran is warning that if Washington acts then Iran will develop a nuclear weapon.

In essence, the Islamic Republic is saying that it has a right to develop all the components to build a bomb, and that if the US tries to stop it through action, then it will build a bomb because America did something to stop it building a bomb. This kind of Catch-22 is where Iran thrives in its use of the nuclear threat to get concessions and create chaos.

Ali Larijani, who serves as a key aide to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, made this Catch-22 warning on Monday. “If the US or Israel bomb Iran under the nuclear pretext, Iran will be compelled to move toward producing an atomic bomb,” Ali Larijani said.

He claimed that Iran is carrying out its nuclear program “under the supervision” of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). He said the country is not moving toward developing nuclear weapons. However, it is widely known that Iran has enriched uranium and stockpiled the enriched uranium, which is approaching the grade needed for nuclear weapons. Tehran has also increased the range and precision of its ballistic missiles. It might put a nuclear device on these missiles in the future.

Larijani is messaging the Trump administration. Iran has said it is open to indirect talks with the US. On Saturday, Trump warned that “there will be bombing” if Iran doesn’t come to make a deal with America. “If at any point you move toward bombing – whether by yourselves or by Israel – you will force Iran to make a different decision. That is not in your interest either, so however you calculate it, there’s no benefit in it for you,” Larijani noted.

This is the Catch-22 Iran wants to create. It began to develop many of the components of a nuclear program over the last several decades and has used this to get concessions with the West. At the same time, Tehran claims it is not developing nuclear weapons. It thus sets up a scenario where any attempt to prevent it building a nuclear weapon would then become an excuse for it to build one.

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BREAKING NEWS

US military announces more air assets for Middle East​


US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has deployed additional warplanes to reinforce the Pentagon's naval assets in the Middle East, the Pentagon said in a statement on Tuesday, amid a bombing campaign in Yemen and heightened tensions with Iran.

 
This could get really interesting quickly, or it’s Trump using a strong show of force to get the Iranians attention.
This is an assessment made by David from Bubba News that goes with your thought


And there we have it...

All 6 US Air Force B-2 Spirit bombers are visible on the South ramp at Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean. This is the first time that all 6 have been visible.

They're probably visible because the US WANTS THEM to be VISIBLE.


There aren't enough hangars at Diego Garcia built, so it isn't like the US really has an option to hide them.

They're on display for a reason. Sometimes you need to show off your guns to remind your enemies what you have.

That being said, WHAT IF these are just decoys, like bait. Waiting for an enemy (like Iran) to bite with an attack?

6 is 1/3 of our fleet of 19. There might be another 3-4 hiding in the hangars for all we know. There were rumors of 9 being in Diego Garcia the other day.

 
I keep remembering this little cartoon that Putin made back in 2018 that shows him nuking Florida. This is a fascinating time to be alive, and especially in Florida😄 Trump, stay on his good list! 😆

 
The U.S. 🇺🇸 is moving Air Defense Systems and Ammunition to the Middle East NONSTOP.

Over the past few days, U.S. Air Force (USAF) C-17, C-130, and C-5M military transport aircraft have been actively conducting flights between Europe, 🇪🇺South Korea, 🇰🇷 and the Middle East 🇮🇱 amid escalating tensions with Iran. 🇮🇷

As part of these movements, 2 BATTERIES of the MIM-104 Patriot Surface-to-Air (SAM) Systems and a THAAD Anti-Ballistic Missile System 🚀 have been redeployed from the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command (USINDOPACOM).

These assets were transferred from Osan Air Base in South Korea 🇰🇷 to Al Udeid Air Base in QATAR 🇶🇦 and Al Dhafra Air Base in the UAE.🇦🇪



In the war on IRAN, if and WHEN it occurs, it is expected that HUNDREDS of FIGHTER JETS and WARSHIPS from the US, 🇺🇸Israel 🇮🇱 and Britain 🇬🇧 will participate.

Planes will take off from US aircraft carriers and from land airports in the region. But the main damage to the enemy is expected to be caused by the US Air Force's strategic bombers.

👉 How is this power exerted?

The US is the only country in the world that maintains a huge fleet of strategic bombers.

The strategic bomber fleet, together with the aircraft carriers, is unique to the US and is the source of its global power, a power that is exerted in every region on Earth.

👉 What characterizes the planes of the strategic aircraft fleet?

1) All planes are long-range.

The combat range of all fleet aircraft is approximately 5,000 to 7,000 km from the target, without the need for aerial refueling, refueling that allows for doubling this range and more.

In comparison, the combat range of strategic bombers is 5-10 times greater than the range of familiar fighter-bomber aircraft.

This feature allows the bomber fleet to operate from airfields located at a safe distance from possible enemy attack attempts.

In addition, the strategic bomber, due to the amount of fuel it carries, has the ability to stay above the bombing targets for a long time, thus significantly improving the results of the attack.

2) All aircraft are capable of carrying a very large amount of armament and also a large amount of armament.

This feature allows ONE bomber to replace many fighter jets in a bombing mission, sometimes even 12 F-16 aircraft.

ONE bomber is capable of launching many dozens of bombs and missiles, including, and this is the unique feature, the heaviest bunker-penetrating bombs in the world (one bomb weighs about 14 tons), bombs that other fighter jets are not capable of launching.

👉 Below is a description of the bombers and their possible role in the upcoming war:

1) The B-52 bomber is a huge bomber that is many decades old.

One of its advantages is the combat range of 7000 km. For example, it can take off from the island of Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean to bomb Iran and return to the takeoff base without aerial refueling.

The second advantage is the ability to launch up to 20 precision air-to-surface missiles weighing 1.2 tons. Accurate missiles to a range of up to 1000 km from the target.

There is no aircraft in the world that has the ability to launch a quantity close to that of long-range, accurate heavy missiles.

The role of the B-52 bomber in an attack is to eliminate anti-aircraft batteries, communication centers, and command posts before and/or simultaneously with the main attack.

2) The B-2 Spirit bomber is the most advanced stealth bomber in the world.

One of its advantages is its large combat range of approximately 5,000 km.

Its second advantage is its ability to launch dozens of tons of bombs and missiles, including 2 bunker busting bombs weighing approximately 14 tons each.

The great advantage of the B-2 bomber is its tremendous stealth capability.

It is very difficult to detect it using radar, even when it is flying over the target.

The role of the B-2 bomber is to destroy the most important nuclear and missile sites.

The US has only 19 active B2 bombers of this type, 6 or more of which are stationed on the island of Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean.

3) The B1 Lancer bomber is the heaviest bomber in the world.

One of its advantages is its large combat range of about 5000 km.

Its second advantage is the large number of operational bombers, about 45.

The great advantage of the B1 bomber is its ability to launch bombs and missiles.

Thus, ONE B1 bomber can launch 24 precision bombs weighing 1 ton in one sortie.

The role of the B1 bomber is to be the workhorse of the war.

After destroying the defense system and hitting important targets (using B2 stealth bombers), the B1 bombers will attack and return and attack again until the enemy's important sites are completely eliminated.

 
Iran is like that kid that is always challenging authority. Very aware of the line, always putting a toe over it to test, and able to stay just inside the line enough to avoid the consequences.

Unpleasant. But also if this scales back down it may be because God is holding things back for now. No matter what that demonic entity in Iran is urging the mad mullahs to go ahead with.

If it goes ahead, I can see Russia doing some extra stuff in Ukraine (and with the European NATO border stuff that Europe seems bent on provoking) while Iran takes a beating. They don't want Iran to be the dominant force in Russia either- even though it's still a different flavour of Islam, Russia and her former 'stans have a serious problem internally with too many Muslims, and an aging infertile demographic of Orthodox Russians. And Iran has a proven track record of working with other varieties of Islam in other countries.

So it probably suits Russia (and China) just fine if their ally in the SCO takes a beating and keeps the USA occupied while they do their projects off to the side.
 
Following the arrival earlier today of a U.S. Air Force C-5M “Super Galaxy” Strategic Heavy-Lift Aircraft at Nevatim Airbase in Southern Israel; Al Arabiya is now reporting that the United States has transferred two MIM-104 “Patriot” Surface-to-Air Missile Batteries as well as another Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) to Israel.

 
**Sounds like Iran may be doing some possible nuclear testing causing these tremors. 👀

This is from Amir yesterday morning
......


Magnitude 3.9 Earthquake reported in southern Iran.

Real earthquake or a nuclear test?


This is just a while ago this night......

4.7 Magnitude earthquake has struck moments ago another possible underground nuclear weapon test near northern and Central Iran, possibly inside the mountains one large peak on the seismograph with no after quakes

 
I'm beginning to believe that the moment for an attack that will prevent the problem is rapidly passing. Once they have the bomb, no attack will do anything useful; it will only encourage them to use it. As the old saying goes: You can't squeeze toothpaste back into the tube.
 
I'm beginning to believe that the moment for an attack that will prevent the problem is rapidly passing. Once they have the bomb, no attack will do anything useful; it will only encourage them to use it. As the old saying goes: You can't squeeze toothpaste back into the tube.

Their nuclear assets needed to have been destroyed before they had bomb grade material. We can destroy all the nuclear sites we know about, but there is a high probability that some or all of the bomb grade material will survive and Iran will be able to turn it into a bomb.
 
The US and Israel are in preparation mode…
Israel is preparing for the incoming Iranian missile attack, True Promise 3.

An Additional US THAAD battery arrived in Israel over the weekend. The American system will be integrated with Israel’s Aerial Defense Array and operational VERY SOON.

A senior Israeli official told Channel 14:

We are preparing for the possibility that Iran 🇮🇷 will make a mistake and attack us with HUNDREDS of MISSILES. "The DEADLINE Trump set for the Iranians is now ABOUT 1 MONTH AWAY, and EVERYTHING is on the table."

 
God's timing in all things. The Restrainer is restraining. For His purposes.

Their nuclear assets needed to have been destroyed before they had bomb grade material. We can destroy all the nuclear sites we know about, but there is a high probability that some or all of the bomb grade material will survive and Iran will be able to turn it into a bomb.
There is some indication, that I've read- no time to look it back up, that weapons of that nature have been already placed in strategic locations.

As always God is in charge. These things will turn hearts to Him, and harden other hearts. The Rapture is very near.
 
God's timing in all things. The Restrainer is restraining. For His purposes.


There is some indication, that I've read- no time to look it back up, that weapons of that nature have been already placed in strategic locations.

As always God is in charge. These things will turn hearts to Him, and harden other hearts. The Rapture is very near.

That wouldn't surprise me...
 
If Iran were to launch weapons - especially nuclear weapons, I would humbly ask God to turn them around
and let them fall in their own country. I would be sad for the innocent people, but not about the religious
leaders, military leaders, terrorists, etc.
That does happen sometimes, especially in wars against Israel, and this is about Israel as Iran's main target, and the rest of us as secondary targets. Misfires, missiles turning in mid air and landing on the heads of those who sent them.
 
If Iran were to launch weapons - especially nuclear weapons, I would humbly ask God to turn them around
and let them fall in their own country. I would be sad for the innocent people, but not about the religious
leaders, military leaders, terrorists, etc.

I read a fiction book a long time ago where I think it was Israel had developed a technology called "return to sender" where they could determine the launch point of a missile that was launched and reprogram it during it's flight to turn around and head right back to its launch point.
 
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