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‘High risk’ severe weather, tornado outbreak targets 30 states through Sunday

From AccuWeather


A strengthening storm will likely trigger hundreds of high wind incidents and perhaps dozens of tornadoes from Friday afternoon to Sunday afternoon in the central, southern and eastern United States.

The same storm, capable of producing clouds of dust and fast-moving wildfires in the southern Plains, blizzard conditions for the northern Plains and flash flooding from the Tennessee Valley to the Eastern Seaboard, will bring a major multiple-day outbreak of severe weather that includes multiple strong tornadoes from the Mississippi Valley to the Gulf Coast, Great Lakes and Atlantic coast.

Since the middle of the week, meteorologists at AccuWeather have designated a portion of the threats for Friday and Saturday as "high risk," which means they are expecting widespread severe weather. The severe weather threat, including multiple strong tornadoes, will extend well beyond the daylight hours, tremendously adding to the danger.

The severe thunderstorm threat alone will stretch across approximately 1 million square miles and include 30 states as it progresses eastward from Friday to Sunday. There will be the risk of power outages and major travel disruptions, and property owners and road crews should be prepared for downed trees and flash flooding.

Friday​

Thunderstorms capable of producing severe weather with tornadoes will ramp up on Friday afternoon over the Mississippi Valley states and may quickly escalate into a very dangerous and life-threatening situation in portions of Iowa, Missouri, and Arkansas before expanding into portions of Nebraska and Minnesota and unzipping southward to portions of northeastern Texas and Louisiana.

The primary threat will be powerful wind gusts as the thunderstorms organize into one or more solid lines. The damaging winds, with gusts ranging from 75-85 mph and AccuWeather Local StormMax™ gusts near 100 mph, will move east-northeastward and may cover hundreds of miles. Such conditions in the past have been designated as derechos.

Ahead of the main line of storms, some individual discrete thunderstorms, called supercells, may develop. These have the potential to produce multiple tornadoes.

Within the solid line of thunderstorms, there may also be embedded tornadoes that can be concealed by heavy rain and low clouds.

From late Friday afternoon through much of Friday night, the greatest risk of tornadoes will extend from central portions of Missouri and Arkansas to southern Illinois, western Kentucky, western Tennessee and northern Mississippi.

However, an isolated tornado can occur as far to the north as parts of Minnesota and Wisconsin to as far south as the northwestern Gulf coast into Friday night.

Saturday​

AccuWeather meteorologists believe that severe weather—and especially the tornado threat—will reach its peak during the multiple-day outbreak from Saturday afternoon to Saturday night. In some areas, such as portions of the Tennessee, Cumberland and Ohio River valleys, the heightened severe weather threat will be accompanied by an elevated risk of flash flooding.

As the severe storms from Friday continue to press eastward on Saturday, any lull may be short-lived and limited to parts of the morning and midday hours. The risk of severe thunderstorms will extend from southern Ontario to the central Gulf coast.

Just as with Friday, there will be the potential for a tornado to occur just about anywhere in this zone. However, AccuWeather believes the greatest risk for tornadoes will focus from just south of Interstate 40 in Tennessee to near Interstate 10 in southeastern Louisiana and the panhandles of Mississippi, Alabama and Florida.

Multiple tornadoes are likely on Saturday in this area, some of which may be strong and on the ground for more than just a couple of minutes. Like Friday, the threat will carry on well after dark, and some of the tornadoes may be concealed by heavy rain and low clouds, which will add to the danger.

AccuWeather meteorologists strongly urge residents and visitors in the severe weather threat zones from Friday to Saturday to monitor weather bulletins closely and have an audible means to get bulletins when traveling or going to sleep at night. Remember to have cell phones fully charged as the power may get cut by the storms.

Sunday​

While the intensity of the severe weather and tornado risk may be past its peak by Sunday, there will still be a risk of severe weather that extends from northern Florida to New York state.

Strong wind gusts and torrential downpours will be the greatest threats from the storms on Sunday as they progress from the I-81 and I-85 corridors to I-95.

The combination of both can lead to dangerous conditions on the highways and trigger ground stops and flight cancellations at the major airport hubs from Charlotte to Washington, D.C., Philadelphia and New York City.

Even though widespread severe weather may not occur in northern New York and New England later Sunday to Sunday night, there is likely to be heavy rain and gusty winds that can lead to travel delays, flash flooding, power outages and some tree damage.

The severe weather threat will come to an end as a strong cold front associated with the storm pushes off the Atlantic coast later Sunday night to early Monday. Some heavy, gusty thunderstorms may still occur on the tail end of the front in South Florida and the Keys on Monday.

 
We just finished battening down the hatches around the farm, the wind is already gusting 35-40 mph. Expecting the worse of the storm to pass over between 8-10 pm with wind reaching 60-75 mph. I hope any expected tornado's miss populated areas, I know we're in the level 4 risk area.:pray:
 
It's been windy all day here, and very warm, 70sF, but there hasn't been enough humidity to be classic tornado conditions.

WU says it's supposed to rain tonight and tomorrow, with a thunderstorm(s), and maybe some severe ones.

Local forecast says the rain is changing to snow tonight, the unspoken implication is some wintry mix during the change-over (translation: icy roads and sidewalks).
Guess we may get some thunder snow, which means a decent amount of global warming will fall (and maybe accumulate).
High 70sF today and low 20sF tomorrow :lol:

The full moon in March isn't called the snow moon by First Nations/Native Americans here for nuthin' :rofl:
 

Original Post from
The Weather Channel

Tornado Outbreak, Damaging Wind Gusts Of 60 To 90 MPH, Large Hail Threaten Midwest, South​


NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has issued a level 4 out of 5 risk of severe weather for Friday, and this threat will only grow to a 'high risk' or 5 out of 5 risk of severe weather for Saturday. This threat level is rare, usually only on a severe weather forecast two to three times each year, and is generally used only when supercells are capable of strong tornadoes, or long-lived squall lines are expected to produce widespread damaging winds.

Take this threat seriously and know ahead of time where your safe shelter is and have multiple ways to receive warnings, especially since the severe storms could threaten at night in some locations.

Here's where rain and thunderstorms are right now. Thunderstorms are expected to intensify this evening. Several tornadoes have touched down in Missouri, including one in Hartville, Missouri.

NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has issued a "Particularly Dangerous Situation" tornado watch for northeastern Arkansas, southern Illinois, deep southern Indiana, western Kentucky, northern Mississippi, southeastern Missouri and western Tennessee until 3 a.m. CDT. Several strong tornadoes, wind gusts as high as 80 mph and tennis ball size hail are possible during this time.

More information:

 

‘Particularly Dangerous Situation’ Tornado Watch issued as strong storms erupt into overnight hours​


  • Particularly Dangerous Situation’ Tornado Watch issued for several states along the Mississippi River Valley
  • The highest risk level for severe weather was issued as a tornado outbreak is expected on Saturday.
  • The final day of storms will slam the East Coast on Sunday from Florida to the Northeast

A widespread and dangerous severe weather outbreak is expected to develop into the weekend as a powerful storm system unleashes its fury across the central and eastern U.S., impacting more than 150 million people. The Storm Prediction Center upgraded Saturday's risk to its highest level as a tornado outbreak is now expected.

The FOX Forecast Center said that multiple days of potent thunderstorms could bring destructive straight-line winds up to 100 mph, hail up to the size of baseballs and significant long-tracked tornado activity (EF-3 or higher).

Severe Thunderstorm Watches were issued from Minnesota and Wisconsin southward to Missouri due to the threats of damaging hail and wind.

Tornado Watches were issued for a large part of Missouri, Illinois and Arkansas until close to midnight, which included the St. Louis metro.

More

 
Tornado hit Rolla,Mo about 20 miles from me in the town my daughter lives in.
Wind and hail pretty bad here, won’t know if there is much damage until first light. I could see some trees down.

Keeping all those impacted in prayer :pray2:

Thank you. My former husband is in a nursing home not far from there.
Need to check. Reports of a possible tornado hitting Fort Leonard Wood, too.


:pray:
:pray:
:amen:
:amen:
:thankyou:
:thankyou:
 
Tornado hit Rolla,Mo about 20 miles from me in the town my daughter lives in.
Wind and hail pretty bad here, won’t know if there is much damage until first light. I could see some trees down.

Keeping all those impacted in prayer :pray2:
Brother, I tried to phone you this evening to see if you guys were okay but I only have your email address and I figured you weren't going to be checking your email in the middle of the storm. :lol: Andrea and I are so glad you are not injured. We are praying that in the morning you will not find any serious damage to your property and that your daughter and her home will be alright. We are okay here. No tornadoes or hail. They went around us, with the closest one 38 miles away. We just had really fierce winds and heavy, heavy rain. Lots of branches down and stuff blown around. But no serious damage that we know of. Right now we seem to be in the clear with a little rain and no more storm in sight (although our tornado watch is continuing until 3am.)
 

13 dead after monster tornadoes sweep through Missouri, Arkansas causing widespread damage​


BAKERSFIELD, Mo. – At least 13 people are dead in Missouri and Arkansas following a widespread and dangerous severe weather outbreak Friday evening after numerous tornadoes were spotted across multiple states, causing significant damage.

The Missouri State Highway Patrol said six of those deaths occurred in Wayne County; two others were reported in Ozark County, while the other two were confined in Butler and Jefferson counties.

In Arkansas, three fatalities have been confirmed in Independence County, and 29 people were reported injured in eight counties in connection to a storm system that moved through the state overnight, the Arkansas Division of Emergency Management said.

But Saturday is expected to be potentially the most dangerous day of the outbreak as the powerful storm system will continue tracking east across the central Gulf Coast states and Deep South into the Tennessee Valley.

Complete Article

 
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