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Dangerous early March severe weather outbreak to span nearly 2 dozen states

As an early March storm strengthens from Monday night to Wednesday night, severe thunderstorms will extend across nearly two dozen states, and associated impacts may affect 170 million people from the southern Plains to the Midwest and East, AccuWeather meteorologists warn.

The main threat from severe weather will be powerful wind gusts that can knock over trees and cut the power in some communities from Texas and Oklahoma to portions of Florida, Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania and New Jersey. There is also a risk of a dozen or two tornadoes spinning up in the strongest storms, and part of that threat will exist during the nighttime hours in the Central states.

Wind energy from the storm will first be felt over portions of the southern Rockies and Plains beginning at the end of the weekend. Gusts frequenting 50-70 mph in the mainly clear, dry air, combined with the dry winter brush, will significantly boost the risk of wildfires through Tuesday.

As a trailing cold front associated with the storm begins to encounter moisture from the Gulf late Monday and Monday night, thunderstorms will erupt.

At this early stage of the severe weather outbreak, the main threat will be from powerful wind gusts during Monday night from central Texas to much of Oklahoma and southern Kansas. However, this will only mark the beginning or ramp-up phase of the severe weather.

On Tuesday, thunderstorms are likely to waste little time becoming severe, with the main threat continuing from powerful wind gusts. Because of the scope and intensity of the thunderstorms, AccuWeather meteorologists believe there is a high risk of severe weather that represents a widespread threat from northeastern Texas to southwestern Tennessee. This area may also be the most prone to tornadoes, with that threat continuing after dark, adding to the danger.
Strong crosswinds associated with some of the storms will pose a significant risk of high-profile vehicle rollovers.

From Tuesday to Tuesday night, a massive area with few to numerous severe thunderstorms will extend from south Texas to Kansas, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio and the Florida Panhandle. In addition to the likelihood of high winds and a few tornadoes, some of the storms will produce damaging hail and lightning, as well as flash flooding.

As the storm lifts northward toward the Upper Midwest, the threat of severe weather will be carried into the Great Lakes region, part of the Atlantic Seaboard and the northeast Gulf coast on Wednesday and Wednesday night. There can even be thunder and lightning with gusty winds as far to the north as the St. Lawrence Valley and eastern New England.

Once again, the main threats will stem from high wind gusts on Wednesday. Still, there is the risk of a few brief tornadoes, as well as some storms capable of producing hail and flash flooding.

Most of the major and secondary airport hubs from the Mississippi Valley to the Atlantic coast will be affected by thunderstorms or strong winds that can lead to flight delays.

As the storms and their associated wind shear and lightning advance to the east and northeast, their approach at the major airport hubs will trigger ground stops, flight delays and potentially flight cancellations.

The outbreak of severe weather will pose some risk to lives and property from Monday night to Wednesday evening. The most far-reaching impacts from the storms may be power outages that could span nearly two dozen states.

While flash urban flooding can occur anywhere thunderstorm activity is associated with this March storm, the most widespread risk of small stream and river flooding will exist in areas where heavy rains have recently occurred this spring, such as in portions of the Ohio and Tennessee Valley.

However, the combination of rapidly melting snow along with a more moderate rate of rainfall can lead to quick flooding of streams and rivers in the northern tier of the Midwest and Northeast, as well as the southern tier of Canada.

 

Millions brace for damaging winds and tornadoes as thunderstorms loom.​


An outbreak of severe thunderstorms will march across the central and eastern United States this week.

The first days of March, and meteorological spring, have arrived, and the atmosphere isn't wasting any time dishing out severe thunderstorms for central and eastern parts of the country, AccuWeather forecasters warn.

A potent storm is moved out of the Rockies Monday night and will travel eastward across the country throughout the week. On the northern side of the storm, cold air in the northern Plains will allow for a strip of snow from Colorado to the Great Lakes. Precipitation on the southern side of the storm will come in the form of rain and severe weather.

After the storms initialized Monday evening that brought multiple hail and damaging wind reports through the night, Tuesday is forecast to bring the most widespread severe weather this week.

A continuation of robust thunderstorms and a secondary round of severe thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening are expected.

"As these thunderstorms roar eastward, the biggest threat will be damaging wind gusts, especially in Arkansas, Louisiana and western Mississippi. This area could have widespread gusts up to 80 mph, although gusts up to AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 100 mph can’t be ruled out," Roys warned.

Tuesday and Tuesday night will also bring the highest risk for tornadoes through midweek.

People with outdoor plans Tuesday and Tuesday night, including those celebrating Mardi Gras in New Orleans, should have a reliable way to receive weather warnings and a safety plan in place in the event they need to seek shelter from the elements.

On Wednesday, the storm responsible for days of severe weather will shift into the Great Lakes, stretching out the potent wind energy all the way down the Eastern Seaboard.

"The line of thunderstorms rolling through the East Coast will be moving very quickly; thunderstorms are not expected to last all day, but those that do form could be quite impactful," said AccuWeather Meteorologist Alex Duffus.

The main threat from the thunderstorms Wednesday will be high wind gusts. Still, there is the risk of a few brief tornadoes and some storms capable of producing hail and flash flooding.

Major metros in the mid-Atlantic, like Raleigh and Charlotte, North Carolina; and Charleston, South Carolina, should be aware of the timing of thunderstorms, as it could impact travel in these areas. The rain from these storms will be beneficial for the existing drought but could cause flooding and ponding on roadways.

In addition to winds created by the strong thunderstorms, the overall strength of the storm will produce widespread strong winds across the eastern two-thirds of the country. The extensive nature of stronger wind gusts is likely to cause more damage and power outages, even outside of the most intense thunderstorms.

On Tuesday alone, over a dozen states should be prepared for localized power outages and travel delays from the wind. Most of the major and secondary airport hubs from the Mississippi Valley to the Atlantic coast will be affected by thunderstorms or strong winds that can lead to flight delays.

 
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