What's new
Christian Community Forum

Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate fully in the fellowship here, including adding your own topics and posts, as well as connecting with other members through your own private inbox!

Britt Gillette- economic indicator looks bad

Margery

When Stuff Gets Crazy LOOK UP! Maranatha!
Staff member
It's the Warren Buffet indicator. Britt discusses it and another one that has a great track record even further back than Warren Buffet's indicator.


From the transcript:
Time stamp 1:43 the Buffett indicator. It's a ratio that measures the total value of the US stock market and divides it by the gross domestic product or the total economic output of the economy.

2:07 And according to that valuation metric, it should be at around 60%. That's considered fair value for the US stock market. Right now, the US stock market sits at an unprecedented 220%

2:23 on this Buffett indicator ratio, to put things in perspective, if we go back to the height of the dot bubble, we're looking at 138%. Prior to the great financial crisis, we're at a little over 100%. So to be at 220%, which is where we're at as of this recording, is off the charts unprecedented extreme overvaluations.

Then he goes onto another indicator at 4:40 called the Schiller PE Ratio which measures price to earnings to tell if something is over or under valued. That goes back to 1871 with great accuracy.

So what Britt is getting at is that the stock market at the moment is grossly over valued. It is simply NOT worth what the stocks are trading at.

He gets into what that means, but again the bottom line is that there is great uncertainty in the markets, volatility and it's like we are sitting next to a volcano ready to blow, but we don't know when or how much. We just see steam venting, feel earthquakes and seismic activity that suggests the lava underneath is moving, and pressure is changing.

A third metric he focused on is the Job market numbers- job openings that track almost perfectly with the S&P 500. Again, another indicator saying the exact same thing.

Record borrowing to buy stocks at record prices. Like 1929.

And he also points out that the greatest stock market highs occur during the greatest volatility, that a roaring market is not a good sign, it's a sign that things go down after going up too high as a correction.

Britt goes on to point out that we shouldn't be afraid, this is just part of the set up to bring in the world wide digital currencies that allow govt to track and control buying and selling, just as Revelation 13: 16-17 said would happen.

God is in charge of when this happens. This is just another signpost on the highway to the Tribulation (and we take that next exit marked RAPTURE).

He explains that Stable Coins are just another form of Digital Currency. At 20:34 he explains that the govt can track stable coins under the "Genius Act" just as easily as Central Bank Digital Currency. They can be frozen, seized or destroyed on a govt order.

He finishes with a reminder these are just signs pointing to the soon return of Jesus.
 
It's the Warren Buffet indicator. Britt discusses it and another one that has a great track record even further back than Warren Buffet's indicator.


From the transcript:
Time stamp 1:43 the Buffett indicator. It's a ratio that measures the total value of the US stock market and divides it by the gross domestic product or the total economic output of the economy.

2:07 And according to that valuation metric, it should be at around 60%. That's considered fair value for the US stock market. Right now, the US stock market sits at an unprecedented 220%

2:23 on this Buffett indicator ratio, to put things in perspective, if we go back to the height of the dot bubble, we're looking at 138%. Prior to the great financial crisis, we're at a little over 100%. So to be at 220%, which is where we're at as of this recording, is off the charts unprecedented extreme overvaluations.

Then he goes onto another indicator at 4:40 called the Schiller PE Ratio which measures price to earnings to tell if something is over or under valued. That goes back to 1871 with great accuracy.

So what Britt is getting at is that the stock market at the moment is grossly over valued. It is simply NOT worth what the stocks are trading at.

He gets into what that means, but again the bottom line is that there is great uncertainty in the markets, volatility and it's like we are sitting next to a volcano ready to blow, but we don't know when or how much. We just see steam venting, feel earthquakes and seismic activity that suggests the lava underneath is moving, and pressure is changing.

A third metric he focused on is the Job market numbers- job openings that track almost perfectly with the S&P 500. Again, another indicator saying the exact same thing.

Record borrowing to buy stocks at record prices. Like 1929.

And he also points out that the greatest stock market highs occur during the greatest volatility, that a roaring market is not a good sign, it's a sign that things go down after going up too high as a correction.

Britt goes on to point out that we shouldn't be afraid, this is just part of the set up to bring in the world wide digital currencies that allow govt to track and control buying and selling, just as Revelation 13: 16-17 said would happen.

God is in charge of when this happens. This is just another signpost on the highway to the Tribulation (and we take that next exit marked RAPTURE).

He explains that Stable Coins are just another form of Digital Currency. At 20:34 he explains that the govt can track stable coins under the "Genius Act" just as easily as Central Bank Digital Currency. They can be frozen, seized or destroyed on a govt order.

He finishes with a reminder these are just signs pointing to the soon return of J

It's the Warren Buffet indicator. Britt discusses it and another one that has a great track record even further back than Warren Buffet's indicator.


From the transcript:
Time stamp 1:43 the Buffett indicator. It's a ratio that measures the total value of the US stock market and divides it by the gross domestic product or the total economic output of the economy.

2:07 And according to that valuation metric, it should be at around 60%. That's considered fair value for the US stock market. Right now, the US stock market sits at an unprecedented 220%

2:23 on this Buffett indicator ratio, to put things in perspective, if we go back to the height of the dot bubble, we're looking at 138%. Prior to the great financial crisis, we're at a little over 100%. So to be at 220%, which is where we're at as of this recording, is off the charts unprecedented extreme overvaluations.

Then he goes onto another indicator at 4:40 called the Schiller PE Ratio which measures price to earnings to tell if something is over or under valued. That goes back to 1871 with great accuracy.

So what Britt is getting at is that the stock market at the moment is grossly over valued. It is simply NOT worth what the stocks are trading at.

He gets into what that means, but again the bottom line is that there is great uncertainty in the markets, volatility and it's like we are sitting next to a volcano ready to blow, but we don't know when or how much. We just see steam venting, feel earthquakes and seismic activity that suggests the lava underneath is moving, and pressure is changing.

A third metric he focused on is the Job market numbers- job openings that track almost perfectly with the S&P 500. Again, another indicator saying the exact same thing.

Record borrowing to buy stocks at record prices. Like 1929.

And he also points out that the greatest stock market highs occur during the greatest volatility, that a roaring market is not a good sign, it's a sign that things go down after going up too high as a correction.

Britt goes on to point out that we shouldn't be afraid, this is just part of the set up to bring in the world wide digital currencies that allow govt to track and control buying and selling, just as Revelation 13: 16-17 said would happen.

God is in charge of when this happens. This is just another signpost on the highway to the Tribulation (and we take that next exit marked RAPTURE).

He explains that Stable Coins are just another form of Digital Currency. At 20:34 he explains that the govt can track stable coins under the "Genius Act" just as easily as Central Bank Digital Currency. They can be frozen, seized or destroyed on a govt order.

He finishes with a reminder these are just signs pointing to the soon return of Jesus.
Very encouraging. He reminds us that the way things are is just a normal sign before the rapture.

Did he say anything now or in the past about BTC? I’d appreciate his take on BTC in particular.
 
Very encouraging. He reminds us that the way things are is just a normal sign before the rapture.

Did he say anything now or in the past about BTC? I’d appreciate his take on BTC in particular.
BTC is Bitcoin? If so, he discussed it in the area he talked about the Stable Coin and the CBDCs. He says they all have the same serious flaw, that govts can remove them at will from the citizen's accounts making it even more important to toe the govt line, whatever that might be in future.

Around the 20 minute mark in the video. He didn't go into depth though, just touched on it.
 
A couple of small regional banks were burnt by loans to a couple of corporations that went under- fraud is now being investigated. The ripple effects were being felt in the US yesterday but today Friday Oct 17 it's expanding around the world and increasing the demand for gold.

I've stuck this in the "rest of the world" section for that reason. I later merged with the Britt Gillette thread.

I waited yesterday to see what would happen because it reminded me of the Britt Gillette stuff. This is part of why Gold is going to record highs. Lack of trust in the banking industry.

It's also showing a ripple effect, quickly going around the globe.


"Concerns over credit stress in the network of loans to businesses across the world’s largest economy fuelled heavy losses on Wall Street on Thursday, followed by Asian markets, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 falling 1.6% and the Hang Seng in Hong Kong dropping 2%. US markets were calmer on Friday morning trading on Wall Street.

Jittery investors turned to safe haven assets, with gold hitting a new record of $4,378 (£3,262) an ounce, a weekly gain of almost 8.5%, its biggest since the 2008 financial crisis.

US banking stocks plunged on Thursday after Zions Bancorporation, a Utah-based lender, said it would write off $50m on two loans, and the Phoenix-headquartered Western Alliance said it had started legal proceedings over a bad loan said to be worth $100m.

Shares in Zions plunged by more than 10%, while Western Alliance Bancorp dropped more than 9%.

“While this was an ostensibly isolated story at two banks each with less than a $10bn market cap, the event drew inevitable comparisons to the regional bank stress that followed the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank [SVB] in 2023,” said Jim Reid, an analyst at Deutsche Bank. “[That] raised broader questions over potential credit quality issues after a lengthy period of elevated rates and expansion in private credit.”

The California-based SVB was the 16th biggest bank in the US, a $212bn lender popular with the tech sector. Its abrupt collapse triggered the most significant financial crisis since 2008."


I was watching this yesterday starting to unfold. CNN had an update that apparently included fraud.


For weeks, investors have focused on Jefferies Financial Group, an investment bank that has at least $45 million worth of exposure to First Brands, an auto-parts supplier that filed for bankruptcy last month.


But on Thursday, they turned some of their attention to two regional banks, Western Alliance Bancorp and Zions Bancorp, after concerns about some of their loans as well.


All three banks’ stocks suffered their steepest single-day losses in over six months on Thursday. That anxiety played out in the market at large as well, with the Dow shedding 0.65% that day. Meanwhile, investors flocked to safe havens, including US Treasuries, gold and silver.


At the bottom of that article this:
Correction: An earlier version incorrectly stated the status of Tricolor’s bankruptcy case. Lawyers representing the company’s trustees have reportedly accused the company of fraud.

And Canadian news CBC reports this:
"The banking sector's exposure to two recent U.S. auto bankruptcies has rekindled concerns about lending standards more than two years after Silicon Valley Bank's failure, when high interest rates drove paper losses on its bonds and sparked a rout of global bank stocks."
 
Regional banks are usually the safest as they tend to be much less careless than the big banks, and the Presidents and VPs know their neighbors...

These unfortunate good sized loan failures don't sound like a banking crisis in the USA. Just a difficult failure for two regional banks.

I do think the globalist powers that be that pull the strings around the world have been hoping for a global financial collapse for a long time and have done much to help it along... so one never knows if/when it'll happen.
 
I think everyone is still twitchy after the Silicon Valley banking crisis which actually gave Japan quite a hard time back in '23 was it??? Feels like 2020 and that Silicon Valley thing was decades ago. But comparatively recent. I expect it's going to hiccup along till the Rapture with occasional moments of everyone hoping it all keeps wobbling along.
 
I managed to merge these 2. It occurred to me that they belong together. I only paid attn to the banking stuff because Gold prices were involved and that is part of what Britt was talking about too.
 
Gold prices today take me back to a time decades ago when a lot of very hard working independent gold miners were going deeper and deeper into debt because gold was staying around $200 an ounce.
Dad did some contract work for the Placer Miners Association in the Yukon many years ago, and gold was a very hot topic of conversation. It's ups and downs affected a lot of people in the Yukon, especially around Dawson City where a lot of these independent miners still work.
 
Back
Top