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Beyond Gaza, the confrontation with Iran

1LoverofGod

Well-known
Iran’s main interest was—and remains—to prevent the United States from brokering Saudi-Israel normalization.

Iran’s leaders seem to have concluded that the objectives of Hamas’s Oct. 7 attack—which they encouraged the terrorist group to undertake—were achieved in a manner that surpassed their expectations. They apparently see no need to sacrifice their most valued asset (Lebanon’s Hezbollah), and are therefore now bent on trying to avoid getting Hezbollah, and their own forces, involved in a full-blown war with Israel.

The dramatic reinforcement of the US military presence in the region is certainly contributing to their concerns. Tehran has always regarded its Lebanese proxy—with fighting formations and arsenal of 140,000 missiles, a few hundred of which are already equipped with precision guidance systems—primarily as a deterrence against strikes on Iran’s own nuclear installations.

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