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Why Saudi Arabia Should Not Manage the Jerusalem Islamic Waqf

The Jerusalem Islamic Waqf, the religious trust overseeing Al-Aqsa Mosque and the Dome of the Rock, has been under Jordanian custodianship for decades. However, in recent years, discussions have surfaced regarding whether Saudi Arabia should take over its management. This proposal arises in the context of regional power struggles, normalization agreements, and Saudi Arabia’s aspirations for a greater role in Islamic affairs. While some argue that Saudi control could bring increased financial and diplomatic stability, others warn of potential geopolitical consequences.

Since 1948, the administration of the Jerusalem Islamic Waqf has been under Jordanian oversight. After Israel’s occupation of East Jerusalem in 1967, Jordan and Israel reached an understanding that allowed the Waqf to continue managing Al-Haram Al-Sharif despite Israel’s overall control of the city. This arrangement was formalized in the 1994 Jordan-Israel peace treaty, which recognized Jordan as the custodian of Islamic holy sites in Jerusalem. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia, as the guardian of Islam’s two holiest sites in Mecca and Medina, has long maintained a central role in the Muslim world. More recently, Riyadh has sought to expand its influence over religious affairs beyond its borders, and the idea of Saudi oversight over the Jerusalem Waqf has gained traction in the context of the Abraham Accords and Saudi-Israeli rapprochement.

One of the primary reasons for opposing Saudi management of the Waqf is the potential impact on Israel’s security. The status quo at Al-Aqsa is already a source of frequent tensions, and introducing a new stakeholder could further destabilize the situation. Saudi Arabia’s political ambitions and alliances differ from those of Jordan, and its involvement could complicate Israel’s ability to manage security at the site. Unlike Jordan, which has maintained a stable relationship with Israel regarding the Waqf, Saudi Arabia’s custodianship could introduce new risks, including the possibility of increased radicalization and external influence over the mosque’s administration.

Saudi Arabia’s involvement in managing the Jerusalem Islamic Waqf presents significant risks, particularly regarding Israel’s security and regional stability. Jordan’s custodianship, despite its flaws, remains preferable to handing control over to a country with a history of religious radicalism. However, the mismanagement of the Waqf by Jordan suggests the need for an alternative framework. A coalition of moderate Muslim nations could provide a balanced and effective approach, ensuring that religious governance is conducted in a way that maintains peace, respects Islamic traditions, and safeguards Israel’s security interests. Introducing Saudi Arabia as a new player could lead to increased tensions, embolden extremist factions, and complicate Israel’s security operations. Given these factors, a multilateral approach is the best path forward to ensuring long-term stability and protecting the delicate balance in Jerusalem.


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I don't think there is any good reason for Saudi Arabia to take over anything. If anyone takes over, it should be Israel. This would be a good time too, since Israel's enemies have thrown just about everything they have at her already.
If you have been following the other stories on Saudi Arabia and put them all together, it's apparent that Saudi Arabia is on its way to being the key to Middle East Peace. It will likely include having complete control over the Temple Mount

Trump really wants Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords and MBS has given him conditions.

Read Margerie's post #7
On this thread Here:



Also yesterday I posted an article on Saudi Arabia wanting to be the leader of religious Islam all over the world. With Saudi Arabia having control over Islam will assure for peace between the Arabs and Israel.

Read this:

 
If you have been following the other stories on Saudi Arabia and put them all together, it's apparent that Saudi Arabia is on its way to being the key to Middle East Peace. It will likely include having complete control over the Temple Mount

I disagree with the premise that Saudi Arabia would be the key to Middle East peace. I understand that that is the hope of some players out there. Saudi Arabia is a weak but wealthy nation. Their country is divided between the royal family which is large, and everyone else. Everyone else is treated pretty poorly so I don't see Saudi Arabia ever having a strong military.

The current acting leader of Saudi Arabia seems to have visions of greatness for himself but I don't see that going anywhere. Saudi Arabia is currently spending vast sums on pet projects that probably aren't very wise, in other words, I think vast sums are being wasted.
 
MBS, that Saudi Crown Prince is a nasty character that came out first of a pack of wolves fighting for supremacy in a family with multiple siblings, half siblings and cousins.

He's put a price on his cooperation with Trumps desire to see peace in the Middle East.

But he has a few weak spots that Trump will exploit. The price of oil world wide. If Trump opens up the American oil wells and drills for oil in America as he has promised, the price of oil will drop! It is artificially high due to Biden shutting down oil wells and cancelling the pipeline from Canada.

Several nations around the world benefited from Biden's artificially high oil prices:

Saudi Arabia - their income is still mostly oil. They don't do much else. MBS wants to change that because he can see ahead to a time when the oil wealth won't be there or won't be needed.

Russia - their war with Ukraine was financed by Biden's domestic oil policy and his green new deal.

Iran - as Biden lifted sanctions and raised the price of oil world wide (supply and demand again, raised the price when Biden lowered supply) all but ensured that Iran could race ahead to finance Houthi's Hamas and Hezbollah, not to mention their nuclear bomb.

Enter TRUMP
Oil prices will fall rather quickly I think even if it takes a little while to get the oil wells out of retirement, and drill new ones. So MBS will be fighting against time to remain relevant.

MBS still has to worry about Iran's ambitions to destabilize the Saudi kingdom (those Houthi's are not friends of the Saudis') and the Saudi's rely heavily on Israel and
America for defence. That is another weak spot where Trump can make a point with MBS.

MBS's NEOM city in the desert is eating up a LOT of the wealth in the kingdom getting it done, and like any new idea, there are glitches to work out. MBS is in a weaker position due to all that focus and wealth being spent building an experimental city. That is money, manpower and focus that isn't going elsewhere like defence.
 
I disagree with the premise that Saudi Arabia would be the key to Middle East peace. I understand that that is the hope of some players out there. Saudi Arabia is a weak but wealthy nation. Their country is divided between the royal family which is large, and everyone else. Everyone else is treated pretty poorly so I don't see Saudi Arabia ever having a strong military.

The current acting leader of Saudi Arabia seems to have visions of greatness for himself but I don't see that going anywhere. Saudi Arabia is currently spending vast sums on pet projects that probably aren't very wise, in other words, I think vast sums are being wasted.
Looking at it this way then Trump's Abraham Accords won't go anywhere because he depends on Saudi Arabia to be part of the normalization and MBS won't agree unless Trump agrees with his terms which includes Saudi Arabia's peace plan that is already drawn up ready to put in place.
 
Looking at it this way then Trump's Abraham Accords won't go anywhere because he depends on Saudi Arabia to be part of the normalization and MBS won't agree unless Trump agrees with his terms which includes Saudi Arabia's peace plan that is already drawn up ready to put in place.

If peace is made between Saudi Arabia and Israel... what's changed? They aren't fighting each other, at least not directly.

Eliminating Iran's proxies via war and destroying Iran's ability to wage war seems like the best option for peace in the region, at least for a short period of time...
 
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