The effect of Raisi’s possible death on Iran’s nuke program, Gaza war

Analysis:

Should it become clear that Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi and Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian have died in Sunday’s helicopter crash, those hoping that their sudden demise would lead to a regime change in the Islamic Republic are likely to be disappointed, experts said.

This does “nothing” for regime change, said Dr. Meir Javedanfar, an Iranian lecturer at Reichman University, as he explained that the impact would largely be domestic.

Nor did experts believe that their deaths could impact Iran’s enmity with Israel, its support of the proxy groups Hamas and Hezbollah, who are at war with Israel, or its push to produce nuclear weapons.

Things expected to remain the same....​

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The effect of Raisi’s possible death on Iran’s nuke program, Gaza war - analysis

This does “nothing” for regime change, said Dr. Meir Javedanfar, an Iranian lecturer at Reichman University, as he explained that the impact would largely be domestic.

m.jpost.com

 

[Tall Timbers]

The guy who approves or disapproves everything is still at the helm.

 

[Amethyst]

The guy who approves or disapproves everything is still at the helm.

I don't understand what the motive for foul play would be if nothing political would change regardless?

 

[Andy C]

As long as their current “supreme leader” is around, nothing will change.

 

[Andy C]

I don't understand what the motive for foul play would be if nothing political would change regardless?

No evidence yet of foul play, although its too early to rule out. It could easily be the result of flying in bad weather, or mechanical issues.

 

[Spartan Sprinter]

Maybe even the Mossad ? Thats a bit of shock news to read this morning but you guys are right, it won't change the general leadership's rhetoric against Israel.

They may even use his death if they suspect or think that the Mossad had involvement to escalate attacks on Israel

 

[Margery]

They'll probably blame Israel rather than themselves for flying in such bad weather that they can't even use air support to find the wreckage. If Mossad did it, it doesn't gain them much.

It probably won't even create a stay of execution on Monday for that poor young Jewish man they are going to murder.

The only thing that would happen is a distraction within Iran as they go into elections within a certain day count (I think our news said something like 50 days) to replace him. Till then the Vice President serves but the Supreme leader/Ayatollah is in charge anyway so not much difference at all.