Based on the average Social Security benefit of $1,907 a month in January 2024, a 21% cut would reduce that amount by $400
(CRFB) noted in its report that Social Security is currently paying more in benefits than it receives in payroll taxes, which is depleting the reserves in the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund that allows the program to pay out full benefits to retirees.
By law, when the trust fund is depleted, Social Security can only pay out benefits equal to what it receives in payroll taxes. The program's trustees project that trust fund reserves will be tapped out in the fourth quarter of 2033, at which time today's 58-year-olds will reach the typical retirement age and today's youngest retirees turn 71.
In effect, that means there will be a mandated 21% across-the-board Social Security benefit cut for retirees starting in late 2033. That would amount to a $16,500 nominal benefit reduction for a typical dual-income couple who retired at the time of the trust fund's depletion, or a $12,400 reduction for a typical single-income couple, according to CRFB.
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Social Security crisis: Beneficiaries face 21% benefit cut without reforms, says CFRB
A new report by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget finds that Social Security beneficiaries would see a 21% benefit cut when the trust fund is depleted in late 2033.